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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Saturday 24 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 24 January 2026. Bayern München vs FC Augsburg sits top on 4.89 in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 4.89 down to 3.02, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the goal fest market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
1 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 89%
Draw 8%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 87% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 13%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
4 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 2 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
1 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
0 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Monza
3 : 0 FT
Pescara
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 27%
Draw 22%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
1 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 13%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
0 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 34%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
2 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#17 League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
5 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#19 Premier League Β· England
Fulham
2 : 1 FT
Brighton
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
3 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Saturday 24 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs FC Augsburg at 4.89 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.