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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Monday 20 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Monday 20 January 2025. Trabzonspor vs Sivasspor led the list at 3.67 in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 3.67 down to 2.55, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the goal fest market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
4 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
3 : 1 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 1 FT
Nakhon Pathom
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
4 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 2 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
3 : 2 FT
Port FC
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panserraikos
2 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
0 : 1 FT
Annecy
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 0 FT
Al Kholood
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Como
4 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 12 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Monday 20 January 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Trabzonspor vs Sivasspor at 3.67 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.