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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Tuesday 2 November 2021

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 2 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Fleetwood Town vs Wigan at 3.35 in the League One. The shortlist runs from 3.35 down to 2.58, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the goal fest market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 3 FT
Wigan
Win 14%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 League One Β· England
Morecambe
0 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 League One Β· England
Wycombe
1 : 4 FT
Ipswich
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
2 : 2 FT
Flamengo
Win 16%
Draw 23%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#6 Championship Β· England
Coventry
1 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
1 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 League One Β· England
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 0 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#10 Championship Β· England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
3 : 0 FT
Sunderland
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 1 FT
Falkenbergs FF
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
3 : 0 FT
Bristol City
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%

Showing top 14 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Tuesday 2 November 2021?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fleetwood Town vs Wigan at 3.35 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.