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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

14:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

42%

VfB Stuttgart

2.38

26%

Draw

3.79

31%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

2.71

1.24

Bayer Leverkusen xG

42%
26%
31%
VfB StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen

2.38

42%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

29%

VfB Stuttgart

3.45

23%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.35

Win to Nil

12%

VfB Stuttgart

8.20

7%

Bayer Leverkusen

13.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.3 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.8 12.1 7.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.2 8.9 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.5 4.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.470
λ Away (xG) 1.239
Total xG 2.709
League avg home goals 1.714
League avg away goals 1.485
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.009
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.774
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.078
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.850
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66