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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

14:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

28%

Union Berlin

3.58

27%

Draw

3.66

45%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.90

1.64

Bayer Leverkusen xG

28%
27%
45%
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen

3.58

28%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

19%

Union Berlin

5.16

28%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.53

Win to Nil

5%

Union Berlin

18.49

13%

Bayer Leverkusen

7.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 9.0 7.4 4.0 1.7 0.5
1 6.9 11.4 9.3 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.4 7.2 5.9 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 1.8 3.0 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.262
λ Away (xG) 1.641
Total xG 2.903
League avg home goals 1.697
League avg away goals 1.388
Union Berlin attack strength 0.852
Union Berlin defence strength 1.053
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.123
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.873
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 55