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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

17:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

53%

Hamburger SV

1.87

26%

Draw

3.90

21%

1. FC Köln

4.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

2.68

0.98

1. FC Köln xG

53%
26%
21%
Hamburger SVDraw1. FC Köln

1.87

53%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

4.78

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

38%

Hamburger SV

2.66

18%

1. FC Köln

5.47

Win to Nil

20%

Hamburger SV

4.99

4%

1. FC Köln

26.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 6.7 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.7 11.4 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.6 5.5 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.4 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.699
λ Away (xG) 0.980
Total xG 2.679
League avg home goals 1.678
League avg away goals 1.369
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.846
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.989
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.724
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.197
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 25