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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

16:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

60%

Borussia Dortmund

1.67

22%

Draw

4.49

18%

SC Freiburg

5.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

10.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.01

1.01

SC Freiburg xG

60%
22%
18%
Borussia DortmundDrawSC Freiburg

1.67

60%

Home win

4.49

22%

Draw

5.61

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

37%

Borussia Dortmund

2.74

13%

SC Freiburg

7.41

Win to Nil

22%

Borussia Dortmund

4.57

2%

SC Freiburg

41.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.9 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 10.0 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.6 6.6 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.3 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.003
λ Away (xG) 1.007
Total xG 3.010
League avg home goals 1.687
League avg away goals 1.452
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.188
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.854
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.812
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64