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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

14:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

68%

Borussia Dortmund

1.47

18%

Draw

5.55

14%

FC Augsburg

7.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.9%

Home win

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.46

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.53

1.06

FC Augsburg xG

68%
18%
14%
Borussia DortmundDrawFC Augsburg

1.47

68%

Home win

5.55

18%

Draw

7.05

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

35%

Borussia Dortmund

2.89

9%

FC Augsburg

11.76

Win to Nil

23%

Borussia Dortmund

4.26

1%

FC Augsburg

82.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.3 7.7 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
2 8.9 9.5 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 7.3 7.8 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 4.5 4.8 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.465
λ Away (xG) 1.061
Total xG 3.526
League avg home goals 1.708
League avg away goals 1.396
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.331
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.880
FC Augsburg attack strength 0.864
FC Augsburg defence strength 1.084
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59