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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

17:30

Venue

RheinEnergieStadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

25%

1. FC Köln

4.02

23%

Draw

4.35

52%

Borussia Dortmund

1.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

1. FC Köln xG

Total xG

3.11

1.87

Borussia Dortmund xG

25%
23%
52%
1. FC KölnDrawBorussia Dortmund

4.02

25%

Home win

4.35

23%

Draw

1.92

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

15%

1. FC Köln

6.51

29%

Borussia Dortmund

3.43

Win to Nil

4%

1. FC Köln

26.14

15%

Borussia Dortmund

6.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 8.4 7.8 4.9 2.3 0.9
1 5.5 10.3 9.7 6.0 2.8 1.1
2 3.4 6.4 6.0 3.7 1.7 0.7
3 1.4 2.6 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.3
4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.234
λ Away (xG) 1.873
Total xG 3.107
League avg home goals 1.723
League avg away goals 1.392
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.872
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.098
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.225
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.822
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 58