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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

17:30

Venue

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arminia Bielefeld Win

35%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.84

27%

Draw

3.64

37%

Arminia Bielefeld

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

Total xG

3.03

1.54

Arminia Bielefeld xG

35%
27%
37%
SpVgg Greuther FürthDrawArminia Bielefeld

2.84

35%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

21%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4.66

22%

Arminia Bielefeld

4.45

Win to Nil

8%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

13.22

8%

Arminia Bielefeld

11.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 7.4 5.7 2.9 1.1 0.3
1 7.2 11.1 8.5 4.4 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.3 6.4 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.7 4.1 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.493
λ Away (xG) 1.539
Total xG 3.032
League avg home goals 1.470
League avg away goals 1.349
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 1.044
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.424
Arminia Bielefeld attack strength 0.801
Arminia Bielefeld defence strength 0.973
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 22