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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

27%

Toulouse

3.73

29%

Draw

3.42

44%

Lyon

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.57

1.47

Lyon xG

27%
29%
44%
ToulouseDrawLyon

3.73

27%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

23%

Toulouse

4.35

33%

Lyon

3.01

Win to Nil

6%

Toulouse

16.26

15%

Lyon

6.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 11.2 8.2 4.0 1.5 0.4
1 8.4 12.4 9.1 4.5 1.6 0.5
2 4.6 6.8 5.0 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 1.7 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.103
λ Away (xG) 1.471
Total xG 2.574
League avg home goals 1.519
League avg away goals 1.292
Toulouse attack strength 0.846
Toulouse defence strength 1.120
Lyon attack strength 1.017
Lyon defence strength 0.859
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66