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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Relegation round - Quarter-finals

Kick-off

Tue 12 May 2026

19:30

Venue

Stade Bauer

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RED Star FC 93 Win

41%

RED Star FC 93

2.47

28%

Draw

3.59

32%

Rodez

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

RED Star FC 93 xG

Total xG

2.72

1.26

Rodez xG

41%
28%
32%
RED Star FC 93DrawRodez

2.47

41%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

28%

RED Star FC 93

3.54

23%

Rodez

4.30

Win to Nil

11%

RED Star FC 93

8.72

7%

Rodez

13.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.3 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.6 12.1 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 8.8 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.4 4.3 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.458
λ Away (xG) 1.263
Total xG 2.721
League avg home goals 1.492
League avg away goals 1.292
RED Star FC 93 attack strength 0.850
RED Star FC 93 defence strength 1.150
Rodez attack strength 0.850
Rodez defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 0