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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Orange Vélodrome

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

59%

Marseille

1.71

21%

Draw

4.80

21%

Auxerre

4.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.08

Marseille xG

Total xG

3.24

1.16

Auxerre xG

59%
21%
21%
MarseilleDrawAuxerre

1.71

59%

Home win

4.80

21%

Draw

4.86

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

31%

Marseille

3.18

12%

Auxerre

8.01

Win to Nil

18%

Marseille

5.43

3%

Auxerre

38.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 4.5 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.2 9.4 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.9 6.8 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.1 3.5 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.081
λ Away (xG) 1.157
Total xG 3.238
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 1.190
Marseille attack strength 1.418
Marseille defence strength 1.082
Auxerre attack strength 0.899
Auxerre defence strength 1.025
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59