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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

52%

Lille

1.91

30%

Draw

3.32

18%

Le Havre

5.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Lille xG

Total xG

2.21

0.75

Le Havre xG

52%
30%
18%
LilleDrawLe Havre

1.91

52%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

5.67

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

47%

Lille

2.12

23%

Le Havre

4.30

Win to Nil

25%

Lille

4.06

4%

Le Havre

24.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 8.2 3.1 0.8 0.1
1 16.0 12.0 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 11.7 8.8 3.3 0.8 0.2
3 5.7 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 1.6 0.6 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.458
λ Away (xG) 0.752
Total xG 2.210
League avg home goals 1.480
League avg away goals 1.296
Lille attack strength 0.914
Lille defence strength 0.806
Le Havre attack strength 0.720
Le Havre defence strength 1.077
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65