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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

57%

Le Havre

1.77

29%

Draw

3.45

14%

Metz

6.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.2%

Home win

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Le Havre xG

Total xG

2.14

0.64

Metz xG

57%
29%
14%
Le HavreDrawMetz

1.77

57%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

6.92

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.63

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

53%

Le Havre

1.90

22%

Metz

4.46

Win to Nil

30%

Le Havre

3.35

3%

Metz

30.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 7.6 2.4 0.5 0.1
1 17.7 11.3 3.6 0.8 0.1
2 13.2 8.5 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 6.6 4.2 1.3 0.3
4 2.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.495
λ Away (xG) 0.640
Total xG 2.135
League avg home goals 1.467
League avg away goals 1.284
Le Havre attack strength 0.775
Le Havre defence strength 0.757
Metz attack strength 0.658
Metz defence strength 1.315
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 30