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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

25%

Auxerre

3.94

25%

Draw

3.96

49%

Strasbourg

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.62

1.57

Strasbourg xG

25%
25%
49%
AuxerreDrawStrasbourg

3.94

25%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

2.02

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

21%

Auxerre

4.81

35%

Strasbourg

2.86

Win to Nil

5%

Auxerre

18.95

17%

Strasbourg

5.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 11.4 9.0 4.7 1.8 0.6
1 7.6 12.0 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.0 6.3 4.9 2.6 1.0 0.3
3 1.4 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.050
λ Away (xG) 1.570
Total xG 2.620
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.199
Auxerre attack strength 0.675
Auxerre defence strength 1.094
Strasbourg attack strength 1.196
Strasbourg defence strength 1.057
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58