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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

34%

Auxerre

2.96

31%

Draw

3.24

35%

Stade Brestois 29

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.00

1.01

Stade Brestois 29 xG

34%
31%
35%
AuxerreDrawStade Brestois 29

2.96

34%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

36%

Auxerre

2.76

37%

Stade Brestois 29

2.68

Win to Nil

12%

Auxerre

8.17

13%

Stade Brestois 29

7.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6 13.8 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.3 13.5 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.6 6.7 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.984
λ Away (xG) 1.014
Total xG 1.998
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.177
Auxerre attack strength 0.645
Auxerre defence strength 0.977
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.882
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.069
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60