Bromley 0-0 Cambridge United – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Bromley at 42% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as Bromley face Cambridge United.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Hayes Lane plays host to Bromley versus Cambridge United in League Two (matchday 44). Kick-off: Thursday 16 April 2026 at 21:00 UK time.
Form
Bromley (all games): 5W 3D 2L across their last 10 — 1.80 PPG. Last five: W L D W L. They are averaging 1.20 goals per game and conceding 0.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
Bromley's form when playing at home: 6W 4D 0L across their last 10 home games (2.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Cambridge United have collected 1.70 PPG across their last 10 games: 4W 5D 1L. Last five: W L D D W. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 0.50. Defensively, 0.50 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not.
Cambridge United away from home: 5W 3D 2L from their last 10 away games — 1.80 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from their last 10 away games (50%) — they are hard to break down on the road.
A near-identical PPG reading — 1.80 for Bromley, 1.70 for Cambridge United — means the form record is uninstructive on result selection. The goals and market sections will carry greater evidential weight.
H2H History
The head-to-head record is closely matched — across the 1 H2H match in our data, Cambridge United edge it 1 wins to 0, with 0 draws. Neither side has a commanding advantage. With only 1 H2H match to go on, treat this as a light input.
The 1 H2H match in our data have been high-scoring — 3.0 goals per game on average — which backs the Over 2.5 market from the head-to-head side. The most recent of those, on 18 Oct 2025, ended Bromley 1–2 Cambridge United — a Cambridge United win.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H signal is in the goals market — at 3.0 goals per game, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle from the head-to-head data.
Trading Data
Bromley goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 88 games, 44 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 73% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 79% of the time; of the 28 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 36%; of the 18 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 50%; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games).
Cambridge United goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 88 games, 44 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 66% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; of the 26 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 35%; of the 24 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 25%; BTTS occurs in 48% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 41% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Bromley 57% versus Cambridge United 49%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Bromley 50% | Cambridge United 39%). Note also that Cambridge United surrender HT leads in 35% of cases while Bromley recover from half-time deficits to draw or win 50% of the time — a dynamic that could influence in-play positioning.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Bromley 1.10 xG and Cambridge United 0.82 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Bromley attack 1.095 / defence 0.805 | Cambridge United attack 0.863 / defence 0.799. League average goals — home 1.257 / away 1.183. Cambridge United bring a tight defence (rating 0.799, below 1 = concedes less than average) — this is pulling Bromley's projected output down. Data: built from Bromley's last 89 games and Cambridge United's last 42.
Result probabilities: Bromley 42% | Draw 31% | Cambridge United 27%. Fair-value odds: Bromley 2.39 | Draw 3.21 | Cambridge United 3.70. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 31% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 30% | BTTS Yes probability 37% | Total xG 1.92. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 70% probability — total xG of 1.92 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match. BTTS No at 63% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Bromley are the pick at 42% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 31% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Bromley if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 1.92 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 70% — reasonable conviction, supported by recent form (Bromley's last 10 home games and Cambridge United's last 10 away games) averaging 2.1 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 63% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral — both teams scored in: Bromley 70% (last 10 home games) | Cambridge United 40% (last 10 away games).
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Bromley vs Cambridge United | Competition: League Two, matchday 44 | Venue: Hayes Lane • Kick-off: Thursday 16 April 2026 at 21:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Bromley 42% | Draw 31% | Cambridge United 27% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 30% (Under 70%) | BTTS Yes 37% (No 63%) | xG Bromley 1.10 / Cambridge United 0.82 • Poisson strength factors: Bromley attack 1.095 / def 0.805 | Cambridge United attack 0.863 / def 0.799 | league avg home 1.257 / away 1.183 • Poisson stance: Bromley (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.10
Bromley xG
Expected Goals
0.82
Cambridge United xG
37%
BTTS
57%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
13%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Bromley vs Cambridge United FAQs
What time does Bromley vs Cambridge United kick off?
Bromley vs Cambridge United kicked off at 21:00 UK time on Thursday 16 April 2026 at Hayes Lane.
What was the final score in Bromley vs Cambridge United?
Bromley 0 - 0 Cambridge United.
Where is Bromley vs Cambridge United being played?
The match is being played at Hayes Lane.
What competition is Bromley vs Cambridge United part of?
Bromley vs Cambridge United is a League Two fixture (matchday 44) (England).
Who is favourite to win Bromley vs Cambridge United?
Our statistical model gives Bromley a 42% chance of winning, Cambridge United a 27% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw — making Bromley the favourite.
Will both teams score in Bromley vs Cambridge United?
Our model estimates a 37% probability that both Bromley and Cambridge United will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (63%).
Will Bromley vs Cambridge United have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 30%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (70%).
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Bromley's attack at 1.09x the league average against Cambridge United's defence at 0.80x — combine the two and it projects 1.10 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Cambridge United's attack (0.86x) against Bromley's defence (0.81x) — and the away total comes out at 0.82.
These ratings are built from Bromley's last 89 games and Cambridge United's last 42 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 0-0 carries the highest individual probability at 16.3% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-1 (14.9%), 1-0 (14.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 46% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Bromley Win
42%
2.39
31%
3.21
27%
3.70
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.1%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.6%
Draw
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.10
Bromley xG
Total xG
1.92
0.82
Cambridge United xG
2.39
42%
Home win
3.21
31%
Draw
3.70
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
57%
Over 1.5
1.75
43%
Under 1.5
2.33
30%
Over 2.5
3.33
70%
Under 2.5
1.43
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.67
63%
BTTS No
1.60
Clean Sheet
44%
2.28
33%
3.01
Win to Nil
18%
5.44
9%
11.13
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.6 | 12.0 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 16.1 | 13.2 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Bromley vs Cambridge United Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Bromley vs Cambridge United?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 16.3%.
How many goals are Bromley and Cambridge United expected to score?
The model projects 1.10 expected goals for Bromley and 0.82 for Cambridge United, a combined total of 1.92.
How confident is the prediction model for Bromley vs Cambridge United?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 88 outings, Bromley have picked up 1.66 PPG on a 39W 29D 20L record — W-L-D-W-L across the most recent five.
Cambridge United's form line: 30W 25D 33L from 88 games, 1.31 PPG, last five W-L-D-D-W.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.66 PPG for Bromley against 1.31 for Cambridge United. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, Bromley have posted 1.84 PPG from their last 44 home games (22W 15D 7L).
On the road, Cambridge United have gone 11W 13D 20L from their last 44 away games — 1.05 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Bromley come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Bromley are averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game recently; Cambridge United are on 1.22 scored and 1.18 conceded.
Last 88 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Bromley
Current Season
Cambridge United
Current Season
Bromley (Home) vs Cambridge United (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Bromley
Current Season
Cambridge United
Current Season
❓ Bromley vs Cambridge United Form FAQs
What form are Bromley and Cambridge United in coming into this match?
Bromley have gone 39W 29D 20L in their last 88 games (1.66 PPG), while Cambridge United have gone 30W 25D 33L in their last 88 (1.31 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Bromley at home or Cambridge United away?
Bromley's home record (1.84 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Bromley at home: 1.84 PPG; Cambridge United away: 1.05 PPG.
Have Bromley or Cambridge United been keeping clean sheets recently?
Bromley have kept a clean sheet in 34% of their recent games, Cambridge United in 27%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 3 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to October 2025 — a small sample, so read the trends with care. They cover more than one competition — League Two, League One. The most recent was as recently as 22 August 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Records & Recent Trends
The most recent 2 H2H matches in our data have all been drawn — an unusually settled run for this fixture.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Bromley have gone 0W 2D 0L from the 2 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against Cambridge United — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 3 Meetings
0
Bromley
2
Draws
1
Cambridge United
Recent Meetings
❓ Bromley vs Cambridge United H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Bromley and Cambridge United?
Across the 3 head-to-head matches in our data, Bromley have won 0, Cambridge United have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Bromley and Cambridge United last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 22 August 2026: Bromley 1-1 Cambridge United.
Who has won more matches between Bromley and Cambridge United?
Cambridge United have the better head-to-head record, with 1 wins from the 3 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Bromley are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 41% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 33% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 67% of those situations.
Cambridge United are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 66% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 46% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 14% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Bromley 59%, Cambridge United 48% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Bromley) and 41% (Cambridge United).
On the defensive side: Bromley keep a clean sheet in 34% of their matches; Cambridge United in 34%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Bromley home games / Cambridge United away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Bromley vs Cambridge United Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Bromley and Cambridge United matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 59% of Bromley's recent matches and 48% of Cambridge United's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are Bromley and Cambridge United matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Bromley's recent games and 41% of Cambridge United's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Bromley and Cambridge United matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 73% of Bromley's recent matches and 66% of Cambridge United's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Bromley's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Bromley and Cambridge United finished level at 0-0 at Hayes Lane, Regular Season - 44, in the League Two. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Bromley 1.10 xG and Cambridge United 0.82 xG, a combined 1.92. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Bromley fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Cambridge United landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bromley attack 1.09 / defence 0.81 against Cambridge United attack 0.86 / defence 0.80, drawn from 89/42 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Bromley 42% | Draw 31% | Cambridge United 27%, with Bromley to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 30%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 57% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 37% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 44% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Bromley 50%, Cambridge United 39%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Bromley's trading profile (88 games, 44 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one.
Cambridge United's trading profile (88 games, 44 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Bromley 1.66 PPG, Cambridge United 1.31 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Bromley (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.66 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.05 average — tighter than their form line. Cambridge United (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.98 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.32 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.
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