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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Tue 17 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Home Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Plymouth Win

44%

Plymouth

2.25

25%

Draw

4.03

31%

Stevenage

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Plymouth xG

Total xG

2.83

1.26

Stevenage xG

44%
25%
31%
PlymouthDrawStevenage

2.25

44%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

28%

Plymouth

3.53

21%

Stevenage

4.78

Win to Nil

13%

Plymouth

7.93

6%

Stevenage

15.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 7.5 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
1 9.3 11.7 7.4 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.2 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.8 4.8 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.565
λ Away (xG) 1.260
Total xG 2.825
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.170
Plymouth attack strength 1.028
Plymouth defence strength 1.281
Stevenage attack strength 0.841
Stevenage defence strength 1.083
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 82