🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Plymouth Win
13%
7.60
19%
5.23
68%
1.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 2
11.9%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 1
11.1%
Away win
1 – 2
9.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.82
Northampton xG
Total xG
2.96
2.14
Plymouth xG
NorthamptonDrawPlymouth
7.60
13%
Home win
5.23
19%
Draw
1.48
68%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.02
51%
BTTS No
1.98
Clean Sheet
12%
8.52
44%
2.27
Win to Nil
2%
64.76
30%
3.36
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2 | 11.1 | 11.9 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| 1 | 4.2 | 9.1 | 9.7 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| 2 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.821
λ Away (xG)
2.142
Total xG
2.963
League avg home goals
1.359
League avg away goals
1.177
Northampton attack strength
0.693
Northampton defence strength
1.317
Plymouth attack strength
1.381
Plymouth defence strength
0.872
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
91 / 45