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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

12:30

Venue

Swansea.com Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swansea Win

49%

Swansea

2.03

27%

Draw

3.68

23%

Bristol City

4.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Swansea xG

Total xG

2.61

1.02

Bristol City xG

49%
27%
23%
SwanseaDrawBristol City

2.03

49%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

4.26

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

36%

Swansea

2.79

20%

Bristol City

4.88

Win to Nil

18%

Swansea

5.64

5%

Bristol City

20.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 7.5 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.7 11.9 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.5 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.9 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.586
λ Away (xG) 1.025
Total xG 2.611
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.164
Swansea attack strength 1.181
Swansea defence strength 0.942
Bristol City attack strength 0.935
Bristol City defence strength 1.030
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 78