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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 6 December 2024

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Friday 6 December 2024. Annecy vs Clermont Foot (Annecy (draw no bet)) led the list at 81% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the draw no bet market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France Annecy (draw no bet) 81%
Annecy
2 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Annecy Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet) 81%
PSV Eindhoven
6 : 1 FT
Twente
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam (draw no bet) 80%
FC Volendam
2 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht (draw no bet) 77%
Dordrecht
3 : 2 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Guingamp (draw no bet) 77%
Martigues
0 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 16%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Guingamp Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga (draw no bet) 77%
SC Braga
2 : 2 FT
Estoril
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart (draw no bet) 74%
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV (draw no bet) 73%
MVV
2 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille (draw no bet) 72%
Lille
3 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta (draw no bet) 72%
Atalanta
2 : 1 FT
AC Milan
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France Rodez (draw no bet) 72%
Rodez
1 : 0 FT
PAU
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Inter (draw no bet) 71%
Inter
3 : 1 FT
Parma
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 12 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 6 December 2024?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Annecy vs Clermont Foot (Annecy (draw no bet)) at 81% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.