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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Tuesday 3 December 2024

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 3 December 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Reading vs Cambridge United (Reading (draw no bet)) at 85% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies four of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the draw no bet market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Reading (draw no bet) 85%
Reading
3 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon (draw no bet) 80%
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#3 League One Β· England Charlton (draw no bet) 78%
Charlton
1 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 65% Charlton Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians (draw no bet) 77%
Corinthians
3 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 League One Β· England Wrexham (draw no bet) 73%
Wrexham
1 : 0 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 League Two Β· England Bradford (draw no bet) 71%
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#7 League One Β· England Wycombe (draw no bet) 71%
Exeter City
2 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 7 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Tuesday 3 December 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Reading vs Cambridge United (Reading (draw no bet)) at 85% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.