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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Saturday 22 April 2023

Wed 19 Thu 20 Fri 21 Sat 22 Sun 23 Mon 24 Tue 25

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 22 April 2023. Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest (Liverpool (draw no bet)) sits top on 96% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the draw no bet market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Liverpool (draw no bet) 96%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS No 63% Liverpool Clean Sheet 61%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys (draw no bet) 91%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Championship · England Burnley (draw no bet) 91%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Vitesse (draw no bet) 91%

✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Vitesse Clean Sheet 56%

League One · England Charlton (draw no bet) 90%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet) 89%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet) 87%

✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 66%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto (draw no bet) 84%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59%

League One · England Portsmouth (draw no bet) 83%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Portsmouth Clean Sheet 56%

#10

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha (draw no bet) 83%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%

#11

League One · England Plymouth (draw no bet) 81%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%

#12

League One · England Barnsley (draw no bet) 81%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#13

League Two · England Leyton Orient (draw no bet) 80%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#14

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc (draw no bet) 80%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#15

Super League · China SHANGHAI SIPG (draw no bet) 79%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#16

Premier Division · Ireland Sligo Rovers (draw no bet) 79%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%

#17

Primeira Liga · Portugal Famalicao (draw no bet) 78%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 66% Famalicao Clean Sheet 55%

#18

Premier League · Russia Zenit (draw no bet) 77%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#19

League Two · England Stockport County (draw no bet) 77%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#20

League Two · England Bradford (draw no bet) 76%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 22 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest (Liverpool (draw no bet)) at 96% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.