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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Saturday 6 August 2022

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Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 6 August 2022. CSKA Moscow vs Fakel (CSKA Moscow (draw no bet)) sits top on 89% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the draw no bet market — 82%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow (draw no bet) 89%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk (draw no bet) 84%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Super League · China Wuhan Three Towns (draw no bet) 84%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%

Primera División · Chile Cobresal (draw no bet) 79%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lechia Gdansk (draw no bet) 79%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%

2. Bundesliga · Germany SC Paderborn 07 (draw no bet) 79%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Premier League · England Tottenham (draw no bet) 79%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt (draw no bet) 77%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet) 77%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#10

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto (draw no bet) 77%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#11

Super League · Switzerland Servette FC (draw no bet) 77%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#12

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Wolfsburg (draw no bet) 75%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#13

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Charleroi (draw no bet) 75%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%

#14

Championship · England Bristol City (draw no bet) 74%

#15

Canadian Premier League · Canada Forge (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#16

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#17

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg (draw no bet) 73%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#18

Championship · England Sheffield Utd (draw no bet) 72%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#19

Premier League · England Liverpool (draw no bet) 71%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#20

K League 1 · South-Korea Pohang Steelers (draw no bet) 71%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 6 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by CSKA Moscow vs Fakel (CSKA Moscow (draw no bet)) at 89% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.