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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 10 July 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 10 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Rosenborg vs jerv (Rosenborg (draw no bet)) at 87% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the draw no bet market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg (draw no bet) 87%
Rosenborg
3 : 2 FT
jerv
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Pohang Steelers (draw no bet) 84%
Pohang Steelers
1 : 0 FT
Suwon Bluewings
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Pohang Steelers Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom (draw no bet) 81%
Lillestrom
0 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden Jonkopings Sodra (draw no bet) 79%
Jonkopings Sodra
1 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown (draw no bet) 77%
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 0 FT
Guangzhou R&F
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland KuPS (draw no bet) 75%
KuPS
4 : 0 FT
Lahti
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg (draw no bet) 73%
IF Elfsborg
2 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras (draw no bet) 70%
Fortaleza EC
0 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
Win 20%
Draw 33%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%

Showing top 8 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 10 July 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Rosenborg vs jerv (Rosenborg (draw no bet)) at 87% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.