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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 6 May 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 6 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Lecce vs Pordenone (Lecce (draw no bet)) at 90% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the draw no bet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy Lecce (draw no bet) 90%
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Pordenone
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Lecce Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland Sligo Rovers (draw no bet) 87%
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 11%
Draw 20%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone (draw no bet) 84%
Frosinone
1 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 57%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy Inter (draw no bet) 82%
Inter
4 : 2 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers (draw no bet) 81%
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Benevento (draw no bet) 77%
Benevento
1 : 2 FT
Spal
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus (draw no bet) 77%
Genoa
2 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen (draw no bet) 71%
Emmen
3 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda (draw no bet) 70%
Roda
4 : 3 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Brescia (draw no bet) 70%
Brescia
3 : 0 FT
Reggina
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 10 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 6 May 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Lecce vs Pordenone (Lecce (draw no bet)) at 90% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.