Sign in Register
↩️

Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 7 November 2021

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 7 November 2021. Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles (Ajax (draw no bet)) led the list at 97% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the draw no bet market — 81%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax (draw no bet) 97%
Ajax
0 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 91%
Draw 6%
Win 3%
Over 2.5 83%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 (draw no bet) 92%
FC Basel 1893
0 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm (draw no bet) 92%
AIK Stockholm
3 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 57%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde (draw no bet) 88%
Molde
3 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF (draw no bet) 88%
Hammarby FF
3 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) 86%
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 10%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 65%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 66% Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 59%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha (draw no bet) 85%
Sparta Praha
4 : 2 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#8 Premier League Β· England Liverpool (draw no bet) 83%
West Ham
3 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 14%
Draw 17%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica (draw no bet) 83%
U. Catolica
1 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken (draw no bet) 82%
BK Hacken
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes (draw no bet) 80%
Rennes
4 : 1 FT
Lyon
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio (draw no bet) 80%
Lazio
3 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto (draw no bet) 80%
Santa Clara
0 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 14%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 56%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille (draw no bet) 80%
Marseille
0 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk (draw no bet) 79%
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
Longford Town
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal (draw no bet) 78%
Villarreal
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice (draw no bet) 77%
Nice
0 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovácko (draw no bet) 76%
Karviná
2 : 2 FT
Slovácko
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG (draw no bet) 76%
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli (draw no bet) 76%
Napoli
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 7 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles (Ajax (draw no bet)) at 97% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.