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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Monday 19 July 2021

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Monday 19 July 2021. Djurgardens IF vs Sirius (Djurgardens IF (draw no bet)) sits top on 86% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF (draw no bet) 86%
Djurgardens IF
5 : 1 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
BTTS No 55%
#2 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Valour (draw no bet) 82%
Valour
3 : 0 FT
York United
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Valour Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG (draw no bet) 75%
Wuhan Zall
0 : 0 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 17%
Draw 31%
Win 52%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil RB Bragantino (draw no bet) 75%
RB Bragantino
2 : 2 FT
Santos
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Haka (draw no bet) 75%
Kooteepee
0 : 0 FT
Haka
Win 20%
Draw 23%
Win 57%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano (draw no bet) 72%
A. Italiano
3 : 3 FT
Huachipato
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 66%

Showing top 6 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Monday 19 July 2021?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Djurgardens IF vs Sirius (Djurgardens IF (draw no bet)) at 86% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.