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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 31 January 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches clear our threshold on Sunday 31 January 2027. Villarreal vs Racing Santander (Villarreal or draw) tops the list at 91% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain Villarreal or draw 91%
Villarreal
– : – 16:00
Racing Santander
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 90%
Galatasaray
– : – 12:00
Erzurumspor FK
Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
BTTS No 58%
#3 La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 87%
Barcelona
– : – 16:00
Valencia
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 84%
Beşiktaş
– : – 12:00
Alanyaspor
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey Amed or draw 83%
Amed
– : – 12:00
Kocaelispor
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55%
#6 La Liga · Spain Celta Vigo or draw 82%
Celta Vigo
– : – 16:00
Getafe
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie A · Italy Lazio or draw 82%
Lazio
– : – 17:30
Venezia
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 82%
Atletico Madrid
– : – 16:00
Espanyol
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 81%
Benfica
– : – 16:00
Moreirense
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 81%
Casa Pia
– : – 16:00
GIL Vicente
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand Port FC or draw 81%
Lamphun Warrior
– : – 11:30
Port FC
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
#12 Süper Lig · Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 80%
Gaziantep FK
– : – 12:00
Eyüpspor
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#13 Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 80%
Twente
– : – 13:30
Cambuur
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#14 2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Magdeburg or draw 80%
1. FC Magdeburg
– : – 12:30
VfL Osnabrück
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Serie A · Italy Cagliari or draw 79%
Cagliari
– : – 17:30
Parma
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#16 Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 77%
Chiangrai United
– : – 12:00
Buriram United
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#17 2. Bundesliga · Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 76%
SV Darmstadt 98
– : – 12:30
Dynamo Dresden
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Nürnberg or draw 76%
1. FC Nürnberg
– : – 12:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 57%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 72%
#19 2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 76%
FC St. Pauli
– : – 12:30
Holstein Kiel
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#20 Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 76%
Alverca
– : – 16:00
Sporting CP
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 31 January 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Villarreal vs Racing Santander (Villarreal or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.