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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 30 January 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 30 January 2027. Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04 (Bayern München or draw) sits top on 94% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 94%
Bayern München
– : – 14:30
FC Schalke 04
Win 84%
Draw 9%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 93%
Red Bull Salzburg
– : – 16:00
Ried
Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Championship · England Southampton or draw 93%
Southampton
– : – 15:00
Preston
Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 69%
#4 Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 93%
Lech Poznan
– : – 17:00
Wieczysta Kraków
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Bundesliga · Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 92%
Rapid Vienna
– : – 16:00
Austria Vienna
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 91%
RB Leipzig
– : – 14:30
Werder Bremen
Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Bundesliga · Germany SC Freiburg or draw 90%
SC Freiburg
– : – 14:30
SC Paderborn 07
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Super League · Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 90%
FC Lugano
– : – 17:00
Lausanne
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
BTTS No 59% FC Lugano Clean Sheet 53%
#9 Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 88%
Willem II
– : – 19:00
PSV Eindhoven
Win 12%
Draw 18%
Win 70%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium SK Beveren or draw 87%
SK Beveren
– : – 16:00
Kortrijk
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 59%
#11 Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 86%
Middlesbrough
– : – 15:00
Watford
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 League One · England Stockport County or draw 84%
AFC Wimbledon
– : – 15:00
Stockport County
Win 16%
Draw 29%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
#13 Ligue 1 · France Marseille or draw 84%
Marseille
– : – 16:00
Estac Troyes
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Super League 1 · Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 83%
Asteras Tripolis
– : – 16:00
Iraklis 1908
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#15 Ekstraklasa · Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 83%
Pogon Szczecin
– : – 17:00
Cracovia Krakow
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 53%
#16 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 82%
Antwerp
– : – 16:00
Club Brugge KV
Win 18%
Draw 19%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Championship · England QPR or draw 82%
Lincoln
– : – 15:00
QPR
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
BTTS No 53%
#18 Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 82%
PAOK
– : – 16:00
Panetolikos
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Serie B · Italy Palermo or draw 82%
Palermo
– : – 14:00
Arezzo
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#20 League Two · England Rochdale or draw 82%
Rochdale
– : – 15:00
Port Vale
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 30 January 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04 (Bayern München or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.