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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 15 January 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches clear our threshold on Friday 15 January 2027. VVV Venlo vs FC Volendam (VVV Venlo or draw) tops the list at 89% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo or draw 89%
VVV Venlo
– : – 19:00
FC Volendam
Win 75%
Draw 13%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France Saint Etienne or draw 80%
Saint Etienne
– : – 19:00
Boulogne
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Helmond Sport or draw 79%
Helmond Sport
– : – 19:00
FC OSS
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Vitesse or draw 78%
Vitesse
– : – 19:00
Jong Ajax
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen or draw 77%
Heerenveen
– : – 19:00
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 76%
De Graafschap
– : – 19:00
FC Eindhoven
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France Montpellier or draw 76%
Montpellier
– : – 19:00
Clermont Foot
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 75%
SK Beveren
– : – 19:45
Club Brugge KV
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 15 January 2027?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by VVV Venlo vs FC Volendam (VVV Venlo or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.