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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 17 January 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches clear our threshold on Sunday 17 January 2027. Fenerbahçe vs Amed (Fenerbahçe or draw) tops the list at 90% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 90%
Fenerbahçe
– : – 12:00
Amed
Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 88%
Academico Viseu
– : – 16:00
Benfica
Win 12%
Draw 16%
Win 71%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw 84%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
– : – 12:30
Energie Cottbus
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
#4 Serie A · Italy Sassuolo or draw 84%
Sassuolo
– : – 17:30
Monza
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 84%
Barcelona
– : – 16:00
Elche
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Magdeburg or draw 83%
1. FC Magdeburg
– : – 12:30
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 83%
Parma
– : – 17:30
Inter
Win 17%
Draw 21%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Super League · Switzerland FC Sion or draw 83%
FC Sion
– : – 15:30
Grasshoppers
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal Arouca or draw 82%
Arouca
– : – 16:00
Vitória SC
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#10 Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 81%
Napoli
– : – 17:30
Fiorentina
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 80%
Malaga
– : – 16:00
Real Madrid
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Challenger Pro League · Belgium Francs Borains or draw 79%
Francs Borains
– : – 15:00
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#13 La Liga · Spain Racing Santander or draw 79%
Racing Santander
– : – 16:00
Osasuna
Win 61%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 78%
#14 La Liga · Spain Real Betis or draw 79%
Real Betis
– : – 16:00
Deportivo La Coruna
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany VfL Osnabrück or draw 79%
VfL Osnabrück
– : – 12:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 2. Bundesliga · Germany Arminia Bielefeld or draw 78%
Arminia Bielefeld
– : – 12:30
Hannover 96
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 78%
Alanyaspor
– : – 12:00
Başakşehir
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#18 Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 77%
Alverca
– : – 16:00
FC Porto
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 77%
Juventus
– : – 17:30
Genoa
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#20 Super League · Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 77%
FC Zurich
– : – 13:00
Lausanne
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 17 January 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs Amed (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.