Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 11 September 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
17 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 11 September 2026. Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm (Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw) sits top on 91% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 82%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw
91%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş or draw
88%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA or draw
86%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Empoli or draw
84%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC or draw
84%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen or draw
83%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo or draw
82%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg or draw
78%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC or draw
78%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United or draw
77%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United or draw
77%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes or draw
77%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford or draw
76%
Premier League · Ukraine
Karpaty or draw
76%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov or draw
76%
Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 11 September 2026?
17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm (Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.