Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 9 August 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 9 August 2026. Ilves vs Mariehamn (Ilves or draw) led the list at 91% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves or draw
91%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo or draw
88%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS or draw
87%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
87%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF or draw
85%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion or draw
85%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
85%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF or draw
85%
Primera División · Chile
Concepción or draw
84%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC or draw
82%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam or draw
81%
Serie A · Brazil
Bahia or draw
81%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras or draw
80%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
80%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec or draw
79%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha or draw
79%
Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC or draw
79%
Premier League · Ukraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi or draw
79%
Bundesliga · Austria
Ried or draw
78%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 9 August 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ilves vs Mariehamn (Ilves or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.