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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 26 July 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 26 July 2026. Gais vs Halmstad (Gais or draw) led the list at 90% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Gais or draw 90%
Gais
1 : 1 FT
Halmstad
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
BTTS No 57%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden Falkenbergs FF or draw 88%
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 2 FT
Falkenbergs FF
Win 12%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 85%
U. Catolica
3 : 3 FT
D. La Serena
Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Sirius or draw 84%
Sirius
4 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Brann or draw 84%
Brann
2 : 3 FT
Valerenga
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Super League Β· China Yunnan Yukun or draw 83%
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 82%
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeju United FC or draw 81%
Gwangju FC
1 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 19%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 81%
FC Seoul
1 : 3 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 81%
RB Bragantino
0 : 0 FT
Coritiba
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 80%
HJK Helsinki
1 : 0 FT
Turku PS
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves or draw 80%
Ilves
1 : 0 FT
Lahti
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 80%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 0 FT
Ham-Kam
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#14 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gangwon FC or draw 80%
FC Anyang
2 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 20%
Draw 35%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 79%
Malmo FF
1 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#16 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 79%
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
FC Vaduz
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 78%
Slavia Praha
5 : 1 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
#18 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Atlético Ottawa or draw 77%
Atlético Ottawa
3 : 2 FT
Pacific FC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 77%
Palmeiras
1 : 2 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#20 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 77%
Lokomotiv
1 : 1 FT
Akhmat
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 26 July 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gais vs Halmstad (Gais or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.