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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 24 July 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Four fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 24 July 2026. The strongest reading belongs to St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk (St Patrick's Athl. or draw) at 88% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 88%
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Vasteras SK FK or draw 88%
Vasteras SK FK
2 : 0 FT
Orgryte IS
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada HFX Wanderers FC or draw 83%
HFX Wanderers FC
2 : 3 FT
Supra du Quebec
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Radomiak Radom or draw 80%
Radomiak Radom
2 : 1 FT
Wieczysta Kraków
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 4 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 24 July 2026?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk (St Patrick's Athl. or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.