Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 22 March 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 22 March 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Buriram United vs Muangthong United (Buriram United or draw) at 96% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United or draw
96%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona or draw
93%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
92%
Serie A · Italy
Como or draw
89%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
89%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes or draw
88%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta or draw
88%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
85%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma or draw
83%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
82%
Premier League · England
Newcastle or draw
82%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan or draw
82%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo or draw
82%
Serie A · Italy
Inter or draw
82%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid or draw
81%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril or draw
81%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Anyang or draw
81%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg or draw
80%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum or draw
80%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 22 March 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Muangthong United (Buriram United or draw) at 96% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.