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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 28 February 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 28 February 2026. 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC St. Pauli (1899 Hoffenheim or draw) sits top on 91% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 91%
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile Coquimbo Unido or draw 89%
Coquimbo Unido
0 : 1 FT
Concepción
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 59%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 88%
FC ST. Gallen
2 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Premier League Β· England Bournemouth or draw 88%
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
BTTS No 54%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 88%
Barcelona
4 : 1 FT
Villarreal
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#6 League Two Β· England Swindon Town or draw 87%
Swindon Town
1 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 86%
Galatasaray
3 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 85%
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec or draw 85%
Slovan Liberec
0 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 84%
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Göztepe or draw 84%
Göztepe
0 : 0 FT
Eyüpspor
Win 52%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 League One Β· England Plymouth or draw 83%
Rotherham
1 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Championship Β· England Ipswich or draw 83%
Ipswich
3 : 0 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 League One Β· England Lincoln or draw 83%
Lincoln
4 : 0 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#15 League One Β· England Wycombe or draw 83%
Wycombe
3 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw 83%
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#17 Championship Β· England Coventry or draw 82%
Coventry
2 : 1 FT
Stoke City
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 82%
Heracles
1 : 3 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC or draw 82%
Vitória SC
1 : 1 FT
Alverca
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#20 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 81%
Lokomotiv
2 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 28 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC St. Pauli (1899 Hoffenheim or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.