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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 20 October 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Monday 20 October 2025. Alaves vs Valencia (Alaves or draw) led the list at 81% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Alaves or draw 81%
Alaves
0 : 0 FT
Valencia
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 77%
IFK Goteborg
0 : 2 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 23%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 77%
Bahia
4 : 0 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 76%
Roda
2 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 76%
Dordrecht
1 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 75%
Jong PSV U21
0 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 25%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 20 October 2025?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Alaves vs Valencia (Alaves or draw) at 81% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.