Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 18 October 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 18 October 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Jagiellonia vs Arka Gdynia (Jagiellonia or draw) at 93% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia or draw
93%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona or draw
90%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig or draw
88%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge or draw
88%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor or draw
88%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann or draw
87%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
87%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
87%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893 or draw
87%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid or draw
86%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille or draw
86%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş or draw
86%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk or draw
85%
Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93 or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone or draw
85%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
85%
Superettan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK or draw
84%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
84%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha or draw
83%
Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC or draw
83%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 18 October 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jagiellonia vs Arka Gdynia (Jagiellonia or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.