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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 23 May 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 23 May 2025. Kooteepee vs Haka (Haka or draw) sits top on 85% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Haka or draw 85%
Kooteepee
0 : 0 FT
Haka
Win 15%
Draw 17%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 83%
Napoli
2 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine Obolon'-Brovar or draw 81%
Obolon'-Brovar
1 : 0 FT
Livyi Bereh
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors or draw 80%
Jeju United FC
0 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Vorskla Poltava or draw 79%
Inhulets
1 : 1 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 21%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 72% Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 56%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 79%
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 2 FT
Waterford
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria Lask Linz or draw 78%
Lask Linz
0 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Cercle Brugge or draw 77%
Cercle Brugge
3 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 59%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 76%
Real Betis
1 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 76%
Como
0 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 24%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 49%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria WSG Wattens or draw 75%
WSG Wattens
1 : 1 FT
Grazer AK
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 23 May 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Kooteepee vs Haka (Haka or draw) at 85% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.