Today's Double Chance Predictions

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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 17 May 2025

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 17 May 2025. Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood (Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw) led the list at 94% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 88%

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 88%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 60%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 68%

Premier League · Russia Nizhny Novgorod or draw 84%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 84%

Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%

K League 1 · South-Korea Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 66% Gimcheon Sangmu FC Clean Sheet 55%

Serie A · Brazil Ceara or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Ligue 1 · France Nantes or draw 83%

Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Nantes Clean Sheet 57%

#10

Ligue 1 · France Lyon or draw 82%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%

#11

Super League · China Chengdu Better City or draw 82%

#12

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

#13

Ligue 1 · France Lille or draw 81%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%

#14

Bundesliga · Germany Werder Bremen or draw 81%

#15

Primera División · Chile Union La Calera or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#16

Serie A · Brazil Vasco DA Gama or draw 79%

Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%

#17

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Standard Liege or draw 79%

#18

Ligue 1 · France Marseille or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

#19

Bundesliga · Austria SCR Altach or draw 78%

#20

Primera División · Chile Cobresal or draw 78%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 17 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood (Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.