Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 27 April 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 27 April 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Benfica vs AVS (Benfica or draw) at 93% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
93%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
91%
Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro or draw
90%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin or draw
90%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus or draw
88%
League One · England
Birmingham or draw
88%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor or draw
88%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United or draw
88%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo or draw
88%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves or draw
86%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras or draw
86%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann or draw
86%
Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria or draw
86%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United or draw
85%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor or draw
84%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking or draw
84%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord or draw
83%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov or draw
82%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 27 April 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs AVS (Benfica or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.