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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 19 April 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 19 April 2025. Slavia Praha vs Slovácko (Slavia Praha or draw) sits top on 93% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 83%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 93%
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Slavia Praha Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 91%
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 89%
Marseille
5 : 1 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians or draw 87%
Corinthians
2 : 1 FT
Sport Recife
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 87%
U. Catolica
2 : 1 FT
Deportes Limache
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 87%
Barcelona
4 : 3 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 86%
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 4 FT
Bayern München
Win 14%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 86%
FC Krasnodar
3 : 1 FT
Akhmat
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile Huachipato or draw 85%
Huachipato
0 : 1 FT
Cobresal
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium OH Leuven or draw 85%
OH Leuven
4 : 4 FT
Dender
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France Metz or draw 85%
Metz
2 : 2 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 85%
Monza
0 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 15%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France Paris FC or draw 84%
Paris FC
1 : 0 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 84%
Lokomotiv
3 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc or draw 84%
Sigma Olomouc
3 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 84%
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#17 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 84%
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 0 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 83%
RB Leipzig
1 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 83%
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 83%
Plzen
4 : 2 FT
Dukla Praha
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 19 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Slovácko (Slavia Praha or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.