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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 1 April 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Tuesday 1 April 2025. Wycombe vs Shrewsbury (Wycombe or draw) sits top on 85% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 91%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Wycombe or draw 85%
Wycombe
0 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Wycombe Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 84%
RB Bragantino
2 : 2 FT
Ceara
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 81%
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 League Two Β· England Chesterfield or draw 81%
Chesterfield
2 : 1 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden Orebro SK or draw 79%
Orebro SK
0 : 2 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England Nottingham Forest or draw 78%
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0 FT
Manchester United
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 League One Β· England Lincoln or draw 78%
Lincoln
1 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
#8 League Two Β· England Harrogate Town or draw 78%
Harrogate Town
3 : 2 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#9 League One Β· England Stockport County or draw 76%
Stockport County
3 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#10 League One Β· England Wrexham or draw 75%
Cambridge United
2 : 2 FT
Wrexham
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#11 League One Β· England Charlton or draw 75%
Mansfield Town
1 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 1 April 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Wycombe vs Shrewsbury (Wycombe or draw) at 85% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.