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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 14 March 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 14 March 2025. Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor (Galatasaray or draw) led the list at 87% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 81%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 87%
Galatasaray
4 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 86%
Al-Nassr
3 : 1 FT
Al Kholood
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar or draw 85%
Telstar
3 : 1 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 85%
Dordrecht
4 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice or draw 85%
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 85%
Vitesse
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 83%
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Helmond Sport or draw 82%
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shelbourne or draw 81%
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Cork City
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland Drogheda United or draw 80%
Drogheda United
1 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#11 Championship Β· England Bristol City or draw 79%
Bristol City
2 : 1 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 78%
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RAAL La Louvière or draw 78%
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Khaleej Saihat or draw 78%
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy Genoa or draw 77%
Genoa
2 : 1 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 76%
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 14 March 2025?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor (Galatasaray or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.