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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 1 March 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 1 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SSV Jahn Regensburg (1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw) at 92% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw 92%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Championship Β· England Leeds or draw 91%
Leeds
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 59% Leeds Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 87%
FC Basel 1893
2 : 0 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 86%
Union St. Gilloise
4 : 1 FT
Dender
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 86%
Atalanta
0 : 0 FT
Venezia
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 86%
Feyenoord
0 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava or draw 83%
České Budějovice
0 : 4 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 59%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon or draw 83%
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 82%
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 0 FT
Oleksandria
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Teplice or draw 82%
Teplice
2 : 0 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#11 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough or draw 82%
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 82%
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 3 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#13 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 82%
U. Catolica
1 : 0 FT
Deportes Iquique
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 League One Β· England Bristol Rovers or draw 81%
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 FT
Rotherham
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 53%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 81%
Port FC
4 : 2 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy Cesena or draw 81%
Cesena
2 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile Everton de Vina or draw 81%
Everton de Vina
1 : 2 FT
Nublense
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Udinese or draw 80%
Udinese
1 : 0 FT
Parma
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 80%
FC Krasnodar
1 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile Palestino or draw 80%
Palestino
0 : 2 FT
A. Italiano
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 1 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SSV Jahn Regensburg (1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.