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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 15 January 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Wednesday 15 January 2025. Buriram United vs Chiangrai United (Buriram United or draw) led the list at 94% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Thai League 1 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 94%
Buriram United
8 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Buriram United Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 88%
Port FC
1 : 2 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 57%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 88%
Bayern München
5 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#4 Championship Β· England Blackburn or draw 85%
Blackburn
3 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 85%
Al Kholood
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Prachuap or draw 83%
Prachuap
1 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Premier League Β· England Crystal Palace or draw 82%
Leicester
0 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 18%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 53%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Premier League Β· England Everton or draw 81%
Everton
0 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany Union Berlin or draw 80%
Union Berlin
0 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 79%
BG Pathum United
1 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 78%
Newcastle
3 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 15 January 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Chiangrai United (Buriram United or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.