Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 28 October 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 28 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg (Bodo/Glimt or draw) at 90% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 90%
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 3 FT
Rosenborg
Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 88%
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 2 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 12%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 60%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 87%
Malmo FF
2 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 80%
Djurgardens IF
2 : 1 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 79%
Başakşehir
1 : 1 FT
Eyüpspor
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 77%
AVS
0 : 5 FT
FC Porto
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Cuiaba or draw 76%
Cuiaba
0 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 28 October 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg (Bodo/Glimt or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.